Precision25
PA ASYM-1D · TOP-2 · 90D HOLD W/ 6-STAGE SCALE-OUT · FLAT SIZING▶About this strategy — what it is, what it looks for, how it operates
A long-only capitulation-bounce strategy. It buys beaten-down stocks a path-aware model judges are genuine capitulation bottoms — not falling knives — then holds while scaling out in pieces.
- Looks forstocks in the bottom 40% of their 52-week range that the model predicts won't whipsaw lower the day after entry
- The labeltrained on whether a stock reaches +30% within 30 days without dropping -15% the day after entry — the immediate-after-entry whipsaw is the one thing reliably predictable
- Universe~500-name stock universe; leveraged/inverse ETFs excluded
- Operatestop-2 picks per day; 90-day hold with six equal scale-out slices at days 15/30/45/60/75/90; no stops
Backtest — 5-fold walk-forward, honest true-daily marks (2024-01 → 2026-05)
Sharpe
1.20
Win rate
47%
CAGR
+76.8%
Max DD
-40.7%
Backtest numbers, not live results — measured on honest true-daily marks across a 5-fold walk-forward with 10bps costs. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
TOTAL P&L
+$318
+18.57% on $1,713 deployed
REGIME PAUSED
VIX 14.9
PERFORMANCE
RETURN
+18.57%
+$318 on capital deployed
SHARPE
2.00
annualized
WIN RATE
58.33%
7W / 5L
MAX DD
-16.35%
worst drawdown
REALIZED P&L
+$51
12 closed trades
UNREALIZED P&L
+$268
116 open positions
LONG EXPOSURE
$1,820
net +$1,820
SHORT EXPOSURE
$0
gross $1,820
Last scan: 8/20/2026, 10:16:24 AM
Next scan: in 3h 12m (22:00 UTC weekday)
Open Positions116 held · live MTM
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Recent Closed Tradeslast 12 closed · most recent first
| SIDE | TICKER | ENTRY | EXIT | PROFIT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | FIG | $22.30 | $26.79 | +$1 +20.13% | |
| LONG | CVNA | $64.21 | $70.44 | +$1 +9.70% | |
| LONG | ENPH | $47.92 | $37.58 | $-0 -21.58% | |
| LONG | BULL | $7.02 | $7.93 | +$0 +12.96% | |
| LONG | FFAI | $0.39 | $3.72 | +$43 +863.73% | |
| LONG | ENVX | $6.17 | $3.60 | $-1 -41.73% | |
| LONG | AMC | $1.35 | $2.44 | +$10 +80.74% | |
| LONG | ASPI | $5.14 | $4.02 | +$1 -21.79% | |
| LONG | SPCE | $2.70 | $3.14 | +$5 +16.30% | |
| LONG | BTDR | $14.10 | $8.76 | $-0 -37.87% | |
| LONG | ASST | $16.83 | $12.39 | $-2 -26.38% | |
| LONG | CRCL | $123.60 | $71.28 | $-5 -42.33% |