Compare: Composite vs ML

Two parallel $100k books. Composite trades 10-day holds on 5 hand-engineered options-flow signals. ML trades 5-day holds on an XGBoost ensemble over 78 features. Both use the same regime filter.

COMPOSITE
$99,849
-0.15% since $100k start
ML
$99,747
-0.25% since $100k start
ML − COMPOSITE SPREAD
$-102
-0.10pp divergence
EQUITY CURVES
PERFORMANCE KPIs
METRICCOMPOSITEMLWINNER
Cumulative Return-0.87%-1.46%COMP ▲
Sharpe Ratio1.691.68COMP ▲
Win Rate43%39%COMP ▲
Closed Trades13191241—
Max Drawdown-11.91%-9.58%ML ▲
Open Positions323307—
TODAY'S PICK OVERLAP
BOTH AGREE LONG
Both strategies independently picked these as top-10 longs
PLTR
BOTH AGREE SHORT
Both strategies independently picked these as bottom-10 shorts
— none —
COMPOSITE-ONLY LONG
Composite says long, ML disagrees
AMDAMZNEWZGMEINTCMETAMRVLMUNFLXNVDAORCLSLVSMCISOFISPYTSLA
COMPOSITE-ONLY SHORT
Composite says short, ML disagrees
COFCSXDIAEBAYEOGHUMHYGLOWMAPGROKUUSBXLPXLVXLY
ML-ONLY LONG
ML says long, composite disagrees
ACNAKAMALKAMKRANETASMLBKNGCCCIENDDOGDELLDKNGDVNELFENVXEOGHOODHPEIBRXIVZNOWOKTARCLRHRUNSEDGSGSNDKSNOWSPCESTXTDOCTEAMTXNVIAVWDAYWDCWIX
ML-ONLY SHORT
ML says short, composite disagrees
ADBEAMDARMBEBMNRCARCATCOHRCRCLCRWDCRWVDELLENPHGMEHPQINTCLITELRCXLUMNMRNAMRVLMUOGNPANWQSRGTISEDGSMCISMRSNDKSOFISTXTEMTTDUWDC